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The 4 C’s of Continuity: Control, Confirm, Conflict, Change

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Definition The 4 C’s of continuity are the four questions you ask of the participation groups at all times. Control: which group or groups control price direction, and for how long? Confirm: are the groups confirming each other? Conflict: are some going up and others down? Change: is one group changing the continuity of another?

FTFC is one answer: every group confirms, so control is clear. Most of the time the answer is mixed.

Control

Who controls price: all four agree is FTFC; day and 60 agreeing override the week and month; any other mix leaves only the 60 in controlMWD60All four agreeFTFC: every group confirms. Control is clear.Day + 60 agreeThey override the week and the month.Any other mixOnly the 60 is in control.Dashed box = the group(s) in control of price direction.TheStrat.AI
The control rule. Any other mix leaves only the 60 in control: the others are too conflicted.

The monthly group shows the big move, the daily group who is in control today, the 60 who is in control right now. Each new 60 confirms or changes control: the flip. See override.

“For how long” matters. A group’s control ends when its bar ends: a weekly signal late on Friday has no time left. See exhaustion risk.

Confirm

Confirmation runs as a cascade. Each new week reconfirms or negates the month. Each day, the daily and 60-minute groups reconfirm or negate the week and the month. See confirming and negating.

FSLR January 2017 on four timeframes: month green above 35.52, then week, day and 60-minute turn red, the inside week breaks 34.10, and the month turns red: FTFC down3032353840MONTHNovDec1Jan2u3233343536WEEK12/261/91/2333343536DAYJan101112131718192023243334353660-MINTue 17Wed 18Thu 19Fri 20Mon 23Tue 24FTFC UP — all four timeframes greenFTFC DOWN — all four timeframes redCONFLICT — the timeframes disagreeThe month is green, above the inside-month high (35.52).Week, day and 60 turn red. Only the month is green.Inside week. A break of 34.10 puts it in force down.34.10 breaks. Week, day and 60 in control, against the month.Under the month open (32.65). All four red: FTFC down.FSLR · Jan 17–24, 2017 · real dataopen of the bar in progressinside-month high 35.52inside-week low 34.10TheStrat.AI
FSLR, Jan 17–24 2017, real data (Alpaca SIP), built from the 30-minute stream. The week, the day and the 60 negate the month.

Conflict

One or two candles a different color than the others: conflict. If only the 60 is red, with the day, the week, and the month green, that is profit taking, for certain.

FTFC up on all four timeframes, then the 60-minute prints an inside bar and a 2d and goes red while month, week and day stay green: profit taking Month Week Day 60-min last sale 2d 2u 2u 2u 2u 2u 2u 1 2d ● FTFC UP — all four timeframes green ● only the 60 is red — profit taking, for certain FTFC up — then the 60 prints 2u–1–2d and goes red. Month, week, day: still green.TheStrat.AI
Month, week and day stay green. Only the 60 goes red: profit taking.

If the day and the 60 are red but the week and the month are green, today and right now have a more aggressive seller: the override.

Change

Is one group changing the continuity of another? When continuity changes, every participant on the wrong side of that open is at a loss.

Mattel January 2017: green on the day and week to start the week, then a gap below the weekly and monthly opens changes continuity to FTFC down, confirmed by a 60-minute shooter26283032MONTHNovDec2dJan12d262830WEEK1/91/23262830DAYJan171819202324252626283060-MINMon 23Tue 24Wed 25Thu 26FTFC UP — all four timeframes greenFTFC DOWN — all four timeframes redCONFLICT — the timeframes disagreeA new week. MAT trades green on the day and the week.Buyers from the week open are in profit.Gap below the week and month opens.All four red. The first 60 is a shooter: a signal.Every buyer from earlier this week is now underwater.MAT · Jan 23–26, 2017 · real dataopen of the bar in progressTheStrat.AI
MAT, Jan 23–26 2017, real data (Alpaca SIP), built from the 30-minute stream. An example of change: one gap flips the week and the month.

Look ahead. Before every flip ask: if it goes red, what would we know? If it goes green? If it goes inside and up? See actionable signals + FTFC.

Related: Full Timeframe Continuity · Override · Conflict · Confirming & Negating
Next: Conflict: when the timeframes disagree →
Back to: Full Timeframe Continuity →

TheStrat was developed by Rob Smith. These docs are written by Alex Sopa (AlexsOptions) and quote his teaching. Work in progress: spotted an error? Tell Alex.

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